Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 6.573330 7.502847 8.528172 9.744950 11.151987 12.730765 14.640518
2025-06-29 5.249414 6.436700 7.851131 9.667226 11.947063 14.727129 18.393633
2025-07-06 4.428947 5.717470 7.340223 9.547147 12.490703 16.309895 21.686567
2025-07-13 4.009725 5.400915 7.235542 9.853507 13.528270 18.554363 26.037787
2025-07-20 3.660366 5.112919 7.105761 10.070290 14.420856 20.653101 30.404037
2025-07-27 3.426595 4.945548 7.105227 10.441660 15.541228 23.164106 35.651742
2025-08-03 3.069138 4.555474 6.734563 10.212648 15.719797 24.263746 38.837587
2025-08-10 2.790878 4.250713 6.452388 10.074564 16.001873 25.523811 42.397143
2025-08-17 2.555653 3.986408 6.201577 9.950177 16.276269 26.777301 46.068881
2025-08-24 2.345505 3.740380 5.953254 9.797771 16.475696 27.907880 49.639231
2025-08-31 2.154272 3.506788 5.701743 9.610177 16.585761 28.880167 53.019705
2025-09-07 2.090549 3.477172 5.781776 9.993362 17.728908 31.791163 60.374187
2025-09-14 1.978161 3.357519 5.702094 10.093155 18.381123 33.898611 66.503433
2025-09-21 1.849237 3.198191 5.539431 10.025782 18.712471 35.433917 71.687660
2025-09-28 1.724675 3.035922 5.356911 9.901806 18.917610 36.737422 76.550255
2025-10-05 1.674836 3.003982 5.406363 10.220596 20.021667 39.951995 85.948588
2025-10-12 1.615736 2.949688 5.408879 10.446152 20.957719 42.921422 95.215656
2025-10-19 1.580846 2.937674 5.489236 10.832582 22.265199 46.822286 107.183176
2025-10-26 1.473880 2.779040 5.273813 10.594278 22.215664 47.756620 112.224190
2025-11-02 1.386598 2.652335 5.111143 10.450599 22.355960 49.126643 118.521200
2025-11-09 1.307842 2.536765 4.961745 10.321179 22.513365 50.549831 125.151831
2025-11-16 1.232213 2.422085 4.805465 10.162613 22.587294 51.782726 131.463699
2025-11-23 1.158753 2.306726 4.639276 9.967447 22.555846 52.757183 137.225799